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REVENGE_TRADE Mistake taxonomy

Revenge trading: you re-entered minutes after a loss, bigger.

The token is still red on your screen and you are already scrolling. Ninety seconds pass. You find a fresh chart, you check nothing, and you are in for 1.5 SOL when your normal size is 0.7. You did not decide to do that. By the time you noticed, you were already in.

It does not feel like revenge while it is happening. Revenge sounds like anger at the market. What you are doing is trying to get your balance back to a number it was at nine minutes ago, because that number is the one your brain has decided is real. Everything under it reads as temporary.

Dossier tags this REVENGE_TRADE. Not because the second trade lost, sometimes it wins. It gets tagged on when you entered and how much you put in, two numbers that describe a decision made before you looked at the chart.

The tell is the clock, not the chart

A revenge trade and a deliberate trade can look identical on the chart. The difference sits in the timestamps. Anything you take on purpose has a search period in front of it: you looked at several tokens, passed on most, waited for one. That search leaves a gap. The gap between closing one position and opening the next is the most reliable print this mistake leaves.

Ninety seconds is not a search. In ninety seconds you did not pull up the chart, check what volume did before the move, and weigh it against everything you passed on earlier. There was one token in front of you and a hole in your account, and the hole picked.

The size goes up because the math tells you to

Sizing up is not recklessness. It is arithmetic, and at the time it feels like the smart version of the move. You are down 0.7 SOL. Getting that back on a 0.7 position takes a 100% trade. On 1.5 it takes 47%. On 3 it takes 23%. Bigger size, smaller move required, shorter wait.

So the size on a revenge trade is not set by the setup. It is set by the hole. You are solving for how fast you can be flat, and size is the only variable you control. The token, the chart, the volume: all downstream of a number you picked before you opened the chart.

Winning it back costs more than losing it did

Losses and recoveries are not symmetric and the gap widens fast. Down 40%, you need 67% to be flat. Down 50%, you need 100%. Down 70%, you need 233%. That is division, not a market opinion: you earn back on a smaller base than you lost from.

Then size compounds it. Original loss 0.7 SOL. The revenge trade at 1.5 closes down 40%, so 0.6 is gone and the hole is 1.3. The next one at 2.5 closes down 40%, 1.0 gone, hole 2.3. The third is 4 SOL. Three trades in, you have cycled 8 SOL of size chasing 0.7. Every loss raises the gain you need, and the balance left to size with is smaller each time. The first loss is rarely what ends an account. This is.

Telling it apart from a legitimate re-entry

Not every fast entry is revenge. Sometimes you close one thing because something better appeared. The question is whether the loss is doing the deciding, and three checks separate them.

  • Were you watching this token before the last trade closed? If it appeared after the loss, the loss found it for you.
  • Is this your normal size? A revenge trade usually prints above your median, because the size came from the hole and not from the chart.
  • If the previous trade had closed green, would you be in this one, at this size, right now? The answer is usually no. That is the whole diagnosis.

What breaks the loop

Calming down is not a mechanism. You will not reason your way out in the moment, because in the moment it does not feel like a mistake, it feels like a fix. The only thing that operates at this speed is a rule with a number in it: after a red close, no new entry for a fixed period. Twenty minutes, an hour, the rest of the session. The number matters less than whether it runs without a decision, because it has to hold while you are not thinking clearly, which is the exact state it exists for.

The other half is reading it back afterwards. Live, you see one trade. In a list of timestamps you see the shape: gaps shortening across a session, size climbing, three entries inside eleven minutes, every one of them after red. Nobody sees that while it is happening. That is why it keeps working on you.

How Dossier flags REVENGE_TRADE
  • The gap between the exit timestamp on your previous closed trade and the entry timestamp on this one, read against how that previous trade closed. A red close followed by an entry minutes later is the core signature.
  • Position size in SOL on this trade against your median size across recent trades. Sizing above your own baseline immediately after a loss is the second half of the pattern.
  • The reconstructed chart from 15 minutes before entry to 60 minutes after exit, and what volume was doing before you bought, to check whether anything on the chart could have justified this entry independently of the loss.
  • Hold duration, and price at entry against price at exit. Revenge trades tend to be short and to close on the same impulse that opened them.
  • The sequence of your other closed trades around it, to separate a one-off from a chain: gaps shortening, size climbing, several entries clustered after a single red close.